Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.485213 0.569616 0.662258 0.771209 0.895534 1.032677 1.195096
2024-10-27 0.355009 0.466848 0.601770 0.775268 0.991061 1.249127 1.579444
2024-11-03 0.278688 0.404095 0.568017 0.795010 1.097746 1.483729 2.008541
2024-11-10 0.223464 0.353456 0.535772 0.804870 1.185558 1.697434 2.428644
2024-11-17 0.182107 0.311831 0.505707 0.808515 1.259494 1.894213 2.839660
2024-11-24 0.153218 0.282100 0.486101 0.821172 1.343218 2.107586 3.287694
2024-12-01 0.128760 0.254050 0.463417 0.823793 1.409011 2.297191 3.713363
2024-12-08 0.104064 0.220285 0.425383 0.795211 1.420663 2.403518 4.019919
2024-12-15 0.092724 0.208398 0.422139 0.822771 1.523352 2.655960 4.565879
2024-12-22 0.082142 0.195765 0.415292 0.842341 1.613207 2.893188 5.102756
2024-12-29 0.076774 0.192626 0.425318 0.892686 1.759491 3.231703 5.823667
2025-01-05 0.066281 0.176376 0.407454 0.888544 1.808103 3.409433 6.290368
2025-01-12 0.056518 0.160003 0.387402 0.878696 1.847124 3.576823 6.757248
2025-01-19 0.048427 0.145805 0.369676 0.871119 1.889373 3.752727 7.250700
2025-01-26 0.043329 0.137943 0.364467 0.888382 1.980499 4.021885 7.923821
2025-02-02 0.038365 0.129276 0.356021 0.897516 2.055941 4.266969 8.568455
2025-02-09 0.033735 0.120404 0.345626 0.900877 2.119501 4.493500 9.192208
2025-02-16 0.030252 0.114008 0.340192 0.914544 2.205145 4.766907 9.917389
2025-02-23 0.026696 0.106472 0.330635 0.917331 2.267601 4.998976 10.577706
2025-03-02 0.022227 0.094719 0.307996 0.885890 2.252593 5.076931 10.948676
2025-03-09 0.020653 0.092361 0.310438 0.916162 2.376607 5.440504 11.890053
2025-03-16 0.018922 0.088982 0.309471 0.937655 2.482361 5.772975 12.787450
2025-03-23 0.018379 0.089910 0.321118 0.992930 2.670142 6.285167 14.065613